ABYSS Index
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Solana cycle risk (SOL)

0.15very low risk (floor)

The ABYSS Risk sums up, in a single 0-to-1 number, where SOL sits in its cycle: near 0 = historic floor (opportunity), near 1 = top (maximum risk). Same open formula as Bitcoin's, calibrated on SOL's own history.

Heads up: SOL has ~1 cycle of history. Its 0–1 scale is anchored on its available history (since ~2020-2022), so it shows where SOL sits within its own range — not a full-cycle top like Bitcoin's. Treat it with extra caution.

SOL ABYSS Risk · full history
00.20.40.60.810.520222023202420252026Now ▾▲'22

▼/▲ mark the tops/bottoms of Bitcoin's cycle (market reference), not this asset's own turning points.

The 0–1 scale is per-asset (built from SOL's own history, not 1:1 with Bitcoin). Method, formula and the out-of-sample backtest are explained on the main risk page — including that the scale is calibrated in-sample.

How the risk is computed →Compare all assets →