What ABYSS read at every top and bottom
The best proof of a cycle indicator isn't a promise — it's the record. Here's what the ABYSS Risk (0–1) read at the REAL turns of the Bitcoin market, taken from our own series: high near tops, low near bottoms.
BTC cycle risk (0–1) at the real market turns, taken from OUR own historical series.
Near tops risk was high; near bottoms, low. In-sample scale (uses the full history); read it alongside other indicators, not as a crystal ball.
How to read it (honestly)
The ABYSS Risk normalizes (0–1) price's distance to its long moving average: by construction it's high when price stretches far to the upside (tops) and low when depressed (bottoms). The scale is in-sample (it uses the full history), so this shows historical consistency, NOT a prediction. The November 2021 top came in softer due to the cycle's diminishing returns. Read it alongside other indicators, never as a crystal ball.
See the risk of all 22 assets →How the ABYSS Risk is computed →Compare it with ITC, Glassnode and more →