ABYSS Index

The contrarian index that measures how close the market floor is · transparent, backtested since 2018
📈 Backtested since 2018🔍 Transparent & auditable🪙 Risk for 87 assets⛓️ Own on-chain (MVRV)🤖 AI copilot
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ABYSS Index · ADA
Our Bitcoin cycle thermometer (0-100). It's contrarian: high (green)=floor/accumulation; low (red)=euphoria/top. Blends 6 categories into one number. Educational, not a signal.

71
/100
Value / Early accumulation
Weekly Δ ▼ -1
0 · TopNeutralFloor · 100
Price ADA: $0.1762
Fear & Greed: 31 · Fear
Formula: abyss-ada-1.0.0
Updated: 17/08/2026, 02:39

Index components

SentimentS
Fear & Greed
The Score's sentiment category. Uses the Fear & Greed index (alternative.me). Contrarian: extreme fear lifts the score (green=floor); extreme greed lowers it (red=top).
69 /100
F&G 31 · Fear · weight 20%
MomentumM
Weekly RSI
The Score's momentum category. Reads BTC's weekly price RSI. Contrarian: oversold lifts the score (green=floor); overbought lowers it (red=top).
77 /100
RSI 14w: 37.1 · weight 22%
TrendT
Distance to EMA200
The Score's trend category. Measures price's distance from its weekly EMA200. Well below lifts the score (green=floor); stretched far above lowers it (red=top).
96 /100
-62.0% vs EMA200 · weight 16%
DerivativesD
Perp funding
The Score's derivatives category. Reads perpetual-futures funding. High funding=crowded longs, lowers the score (red=top); low/negative funding raises it (green=floor).
71 /100
Funding: -0.0021% · weight 16%
MacroM
M2 liquidity (US)
The Score's macro category. Blends US M2 liquidity and the dollar's strength (FRED data). More liquidity and a weak dollar raise the score (green); a strong dollar lowers it (red).
37 /100
M2 YoY: 5.53% · weight 16%
MacroM
Dollar (USD Index)
The Score's macro category. Blends US M2 liquidity and the dollar's strength (FRED data). More liquidity and a weak dollar raise the score (green); a strong dollar lowers it (red).
81 /100
USD 1m: -1.40% · weight 10%
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How it works

1
We gather 6 categories
Sentiment, momentum, trend, derivatives, macro and network — from free or self-computed sources.
2
We blend them into one number
Each signal is normalized to 0-100 and weighted with a public, versioned formula.
3
You read it contrarian
High (green) = near the floor, accumulation zone. Low (red) = near the top, distribution / late cycle.

Whole market · ABYSS Score

ABYSS Altseason
Measures whether alts are beating Bitcoin (0-100, our own data): the alt basket's 90-day performance versus BTC. High (purple)=altseason; low (amber)=Bitcoin season; ~50=balanced.

41/100
Bitcoin-leaning
2/5 alts beating BTC (90d)
Bitcoin seasonAltseason
ETH
55
SOL
55
XRP
35
ADA
34
DOGE
24

Each alt's 90-day performance vs BTC (how much its ALT/BTC ratio rose or fell), mapped to 0-100 (50 = same as BTC). The basket average is the index: above 50 = alts beating BTC. Our own signal.

Is it altseason? Full breakdown →

ABYSS Risk · ADA · cycle risk (0–1)

0.09
very low risk (floor)
00.20.40.60.810.520202021202320252026Now ▾▼'21▲'22

The same open cycle-risk metric as BTC, computed by us from ADA's price vs its 2-year average (0 = floor, 1 = top). Each asset's 0–1 scale is calibrated on its OWN history (a shorter window than BTC), so read ADA against its own past — it isn't a one-to-one comparison with BTC's number. How it's computed (explained on BTC) →

How to read it

80–100Strong accumulation
60–80Value / Early accumulation
40–60Neutral / Transition
20–40Greed / Late cycle
0–20Euphoria / Distribution

Contrarian scale: high = market floor / accumulation, low = top / distribution.

ABYSS vs. Fear & Greed

The Fear & Greed Index is great for sentiment — in fact we use it as one of our components. ABYSS goes further: it blends 6 categories into one contrarian, per-asset, transparent and backtested number.

Fear & GreedABYSS
FocusSentiment6 categories
Per assetBTC-wide6 assets
Macro (M2, USD)
Own on-chain valuation (MVRV)✓ BTC
Open, versioned formula
Public backtest (since 2018)
Widget + public API

Index history (weekly, since 2018)

How to read it: high (green) = market floor / accumulation; low (red) = market top / distribution. The dot is today.

050100Now 7120182020202220242026

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